What will happen if I hold Titan stock for 5 years?

The Titan stock has been a multibagger and given a return of 200% in the past 5 years.

Performance of Titan Stock for the Past 5 Years

The Titan stock has been growing on the back of

  1. Growing appetite for Gold Ornaments
  2. Demand for trendy eyewear and fashionable watches
  3. Inclination for High-Quality Perfumes

These are avenues where demand will remain strong on the back of a growing middle class and higher incomes.

Different Brands under the Titan Company

Another booster for a company like Titan is

Growth in the Gold Prices owing to Global Headwinds

Having said this, the concerns for the stock are

  • Valuations (P/E > 75)
  • Pressure on profit margins owing to competition from organized & unorganized players
  • Disruption in supply chain owing to geopolitics
  • Decline in demand on the back of job market stagnation

Value Investing (Methodology followed by Warren Buffet)

Considering these points, we can say with some certainty regarding the coming 5years:

  • The stock will not be able to match the growth of the last 5 years owing to valuations that are way above the on the ground earnings
  • If the company diversifies into newer areas and is able to utilize the Tata ecosystem aptly, it will be able to sustain/improve the Earning Per Share (EPS)

Hope this helps

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