What will happen if Ukraine “wins” in Russia’s invasion?

Considering the way the war is proceeding – it has gone from win & loss to a “War of Attrition”.

In such a war, the side which has the following has an advantage

  1. Arms & Ammunition Manufacturing Capacity
  2. Supply of Men
  3. Financial Avenues to make money to fund the war
  4. Fuel to keep the war machines running
  5. Technical Know-how to improvise

Taking all this into account, it is hard to say that Russia is going to lose.

With the US Presidential Elections around the corner, the US will be on the fence regarding support for the Ukrainian Cause.

Despite this, in some parallel universe, if Russia loses to Ukraine – strategically (not tactically as it has happened in the past), the following things will happen

  • Russia will face intense heat in the caucuses (especially in Dagestan and Chechnya)
  • Mass protests will be on in Moscow and elsewhere
  • Rebellion will be there in the Kremlin for accountability and change in leadership

Hope this helps

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